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We regularly publish relevant analysis and reports on the global economy and the most important markets.
An exciting, opportunity-laden investment year is drawing to a close. Financial markets have remained remarkably resilient in the face of geopolitical turbulence and a hyperactive US administration. Economic momentum is subdued, yet companies are doing well. Equities remain our no.1 choice.
It was a hot summer – for financial markets and geopolitics alike. US companies delivered good first-half numbers, while the Trump administration hit the headlines on an hourly basis. Swiss National Day was a total wash-out, however: 39% tariffs on exports to the US came as a shock, and this autumn the economy is expected to cool alongside the weather.
Equity markets experienced a rollercoaster ride in a turbulent first half of the year. The tension is set to continue as the impact of tariffs hits home, the economic slowdown continues and the US administration’s tax package is on the home straight. For Swiss investors, opportunities are few and far between right now.
The new US Administration under President Donald Trump has ushered in a turbulent market environment. Equity markets initially breathed a sigh of relief following the postponement of the planned tariffs, but there are plenty of reasons to anticipate a continuation of the uncertain environment and headwinds for the economy. Our positioning remains defensive for the time being.
The announcement of new tariffs by US President Donald Trump triggered sharp falls on the equity markets. Initially the US stock market above all was badly affected by the sell-off. But last Friday the European bourses and Swiss stocks also took a beating. The sell-off has been continuing today, and the past months’ encouraging gains have vanished into thin air. We had already reacted to the growing economic and political uncertainties by aligning ourselves more defensively. Currently we are continuing to take profits and reducing our equity exposure.
The events of the last 12 months have once again brought it home to investors that a broadly diversified portfolio offers good protection in times of political uncertainty and general market turbulence. Our “Review & outlook” publication provides you with in-depth information on our assessments of possible developments over the coming year.